Reuben Gregg Brewer, The Motley Fool
5 min read
In This Article:
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Brookfield Asset Management just upped its dividend by 15%.
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The Canadian asset manager believes it can continue to grow the dividend by 15% through 2030.
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What happens if that dividend growth rate is cut in half between 2030 and 2035?
Brookfield Asset Management (NYSE: BAM) is an attractive dividend growth stock. You could also look at it as a desirable growth and income stock. The two stats backing that up are the above-market 3.1% yield and the huge 15% annual dividend growth rate that management is projecting out to the end of of the decade. What does that mean for investors? And what happens after 2030?
Before looking at the dividend growth opportunity with Brookfield Asset Management, it is important to understand what the company does. It is a large Canadian asset manager with a historical focus on infrastructure. It has long invested on a global scale, as well, so it has a very broad investment universe. In recent years it has expanded the universe, too, adding a bond specialist to the mix and broadening its efforts in private equity.
Brookfield Asset Management operates across five different platforms: renewable power, infrastructure, real estate, credit, and private equity. It believes it is positioned to benefit in all of these business lines from key long-term trends, including the shift toward clean energy, the world becoming increasingly digital, and de-globalization. The goal is to increase the fee-bearing assets it manages from $550 billion to $1.1 trillion by the end of the decade.
As an asset manager, Brookfield Asset Management charges fees for managing other people's money. So growing fee-bearing assets will lead to higher revenues and earnings. If it hits its current targets, the company believes it can grow the dividend 15% a year through the end of 2030.
Assuming Brookfield Asset Management can live up to its dividend growth goal, which is not unreasonable, the dividend will grow from about $0.44 per share per quarter to $0.88. If the stock price remains the same in 2030 as it is today, the dividend yield would increase from 3.1% to 6.3%. If, as is more likely, the stock price increases as the dividend grows, the stock will rise from around $56 per share to $112 if the yield remains at the 3.1% level. But, in the price increase example, the yield on purchase price for an investor buying today would still be 6.3%!
That's great and should interest dividend growth as well as growth and income investors. But what happens over the five years after that? If the company can keep growing the dividend by 15%, which would be a very tall order, the dividend in 2035 would be $1.77 per share per quarter. That would suggest a yield on purchase price of 12.6% and a stock price of $224 per share if the market continued to afford the stock a 3.1% yield. Wow!
