Lee Samaha, The Motley Fool
5 min read
In This Article:
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This closed-end fund's net asset value continues to decline, making its distribution appear increasingly untenable.
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Whirlpool faces significant near-term pressure, and a dividend cut would help ease that.
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UPS' free cash flow may not cover its dividend in 2025, and there are more effective uses for its cash flow, such as investing in its growth initiatives.
With respective dividend or distribution yields of 14.7%, 8.3%, and 6.6%, these three investments could provide an investor with an aggregate yield of 9.9% if purchased together. However, I think that the closed-end Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund (NYSE: GOF), the home appliance company Whirlpool (NYSE: WHR), and UPS (NYSE: UPS) are likely to reduce their dividends or distributions to investors. Furthermore, in two of the cases, doing so would make them stronger companies. Here's why.
This is a closed-end fund, meaning it doesn't raise new capital from investors; but it can use debt to generate returns for them. It trades on the market like a stock, and it makes monthly distributions (rather like dividends). The fund has a superb record of making distributions to investors, having maintained them for over a decade.
But here's the thing: The fund's net investment income hasn't covered its distribution for the last seven years, and over the previous six years, the fund has used its capital to make distributions. This is to the detriment of its net asset value (NAV), which has declined every year since 2018, and now stands at $11.50.
Meanwhile, the fund has effectively increased its leverage to boost its investment income. This isn't a sustainable path, yet the market is pricing it at a 28.5% premium to its NAV. Go figure.
The home appliance company is one of the most interesting stocks on the market. Management believes it will benefit from the Trump tariffs and the administration's approach to defending American manufacturing interests, not least by closing a loophole that allows Asian competitors to use Chinese steel in their products and thereby avoid tariffs on it.
That may be the case, and it is good news for Whirlpool and its competitive positioning. Still, the company must navigate ongoing weakness in the housing market, which is unlikely to improve until mortgage rates decrease from their relatively high level. High rates discourage home sales, which hurt the higher-margin discretionary appliance sales that Whirlpool needs to boost its earnings.