Argus
•
Jun 25, 2025
Technical Assessment: Bullish in the Intermediate-Term
Summary
Tuesday was another stellar day for equities, and one of the most-hated rallies in recent history continued to steamroll the bears. After tanking by 23% from its closing all-time high on February 19 to its closing low on April 8, the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) is the first major index to recapture its entire bear-market fall and spike to a new all-time high (ATH). The rally represents a 30% shot to the upside in 11 weeks and is the largest move in that timeframe since the pandemic. We have made quite a few comparisons to the pandemic when discussing the recent decline and subsequent "V-shaped" recovery. The S&P 500 (SPX), S&P 100 (OEX), the Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF (XLG), and the Nasdaq Composite are all close to ATHs. The S&P MidCap 400 has work to do, and the S&P Small Cap 600 has a lot of work to do. Remember, all-time highs are bullish...except for the last one in a bull cycle. The SPX and OEX tacked on another 1% on Tuesday, while the Nasdaq rose 1.4%, and the QQQ added 1.5%. Information Technology led the 11 S&P 500 sectors, popping 1.8% and propelling the XLK (Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund) to an all-time high. The Tech ETF has soared 38% from its April closing low. The mega-cap semiconductors led the charge, as both the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) and th
Upgrade to begin using premium research reports and get so much more.
Exclusive reports, detailed company profiles, and best-in-class trade insights to take your portfolio to the next level