Ricardo Pillai
2 min read
In This Article:
We came across a bullish thesis on Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP) on Substack by Margin of Sanity. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on EXP. Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP)'s share was trading at $239.93 as of May 16th. EXP’s trailing and forward P/E were 17.16 and 15.04 respectively according to Yahoo Finance.
A long, winding concrete pump truck navigating a busy city street.
Eagle Materials (EXP) represents a high-conviction position built around the unique structural advantages of the concrete industry. Concrete’s defining feature—its weight—makes it uneconomical to ship over long distances, creating a highly localized, competition-insulated business. This results in natural regional monopolies where producers like Eagle dominate their markets. Over the past two decades, Eagle Materials has strategically acquired assets in fast-growing U.S. geographies, not only cornering key markets but also vertically integrating operations to become the lowest-cost producer in every area it serves. Alongside concrete, the company manufactures gypsum wallboard (sheetrock), further diversifying its product base while benefiting from overlapping demand drivers in construction.
Financially, Eagle is exceptional: it trades at a modest ~16–17x P/E despite a ~30% return on equity and robust ~20% net margins. Its balance sheet is healthy, with enough cash and earnings power to pay off its debt in under three years. Management’s discipline shows through consistent share buybacks, especially during stock dips—an encouraging sign for value investors. In times of industry stress, Eagle’s financial strength enables it to acquire distressed competitors, further solidifying its market leadership. The company’s strong competitive position, operational discipline, and attractive valuation make it a compelling investment. If Eagle Materials caught your interest, you might also appreciate our look at Vulcan Materials—a key player in the construction materials space.
Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP) is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 36 hedge fund portfolios held EXP at the end of the fourth quarter which was 31 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the risk and potential of EXP as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than EXP but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
