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AST SpaceMobile: A High-Risk, High-Reward Play on the Future of Connectivity

George Budwell, The Motley Fool

6 min read

  • AST SpaceMobile is pioneering a space-based network to connect directly with standard smartphones, targeting a massive global market of underserved users.

  • Recent landmark agreements for spectrum access and over half a billion dollars in potential new financing have significantly strengthened the company's competitive moat and financial standing.

  • Backed by major telecom partners and validated by U.S. government contracts, the company is poised for its first Block 2 BlueBird satellite launch next month.

  • 10 stocks we like better than AST SpaceMobile ›

Forget what you thought you knew about satellite phones. While market attention remains fixed on artificial intelligence and quantum computing, a Texas-based company is making significant strides in its mission to revolutionize global internet access.

AST SpaceMobile (NASDAQ: ASTS) is on the verge of launching a commercial space-based cellular network that communicates directly with the smartphone in your pocket. After a volatile journey since its 2021 public debut, a series of critical developments in 2025 are bringing its ambitious vision into sharp focus. Here's what you need to know about this high-profile space stock.

Space-level view of cellular networks in the United States.

Image source: Getty Images.

AST SpaceMobile's first-quarter 2025 results underscored the capital demands of its ambitious mission, reporting a $63 million operating loss driven by heavy research and development (R&D) and manufacturing investments. But that figure now comes with important context.

In a pivotal breakthrough, the company secured a term sheet granting it long-term (80-plus years) access to 45 megahertz (MHz) of premium lower mid-band spectrum in North America through a settlement with Ligado. To fund the deal, AST also lined up $550 million in non-recourse financing.

This is a game-changing development. It locks in a vital strategic asset and injects substantial capital without shareholder dilution, resolving a major financial overhang and providing the company with a much clearer path forward.

Armed with this backing, AST's projections look increasingly credible: gateway equipment bookings of roughly $10 million per quarter and its first major revenue surge, estimated at $50 million to $75 million, in the second half of 2025. The transition from R&D to commercial deployment is no longer theoretical. It's in motion.

The global mobile connectivity market is a behemoth, generating over $135 billion in 2024. Yet, vast swathes of the planet and billions of people remain disconnected due to the economic and geographical limitations of terrestrial cell towers.